My biggest objections to the Wall pick are that he’s too young, not polished enough to contribute enough in the first four years of his rookie contract and not enough of a ball handler ( see here for a really long series on what makes a good draft pick, short version: it’s not necessarily the best player, but the best value for the next four years). Since this didn’t happen and my magical pony is still in the mail, I’m left here judging what they did. While not a world-beater in 2011, this would have been a competitive team with lots of potential in the frontcourt and trade pieces to follow the OKC team-building thru the draft model. The upside of this is that it would have allowed me to try to salvage something out of the Gilbert Arenas albatross around my neck and given me a starting five of Hinrich, Arenas, Josh Howard, one of the rookie power forwards and Cousins with JaVale McGee as my sixth man.At the end of the day I would have wound up adding a good bet at franchise Center with Cousins, two cheap lottery tickets for a good PF in Seraphin and Booker, and a proven and underrated NBA 1/2 in Kirk Hinrich. Done as the Wizards did for the rest of day (told you I liked the cut of their jib).I simply couldn’ t pass up a possible franchise center. The second best player in the draft according to PAWS/40 ( see here) and the best center. It’s obvious that I like the athletic, high-upside bigs at the minimum level but it’s even more obvious that I would have preferred they go another way with the number 1.īefore anyone asks, if I were the GM for the Wizards I would have: The draft should be treated like a penny poker game, go big or stay home.”īut as I said almost. If they don’t work, you at worst lose a min salary. They’re both chancy picks with a lot of upside. I love what the Celts did in drafting Avery Bradley and Luke Haragondy. I Hate John Wall (too expensive and not polished enough to contribute and all see the previous point on ball handling). For the 2010 draft I love Cousins, Turner,Heyward and Aldrich. I would vet the players thoroughly (like the Republicans didn’t do for Palin). I’d look for productive/athletic/high skill players who are available even if they are being passed up for some reason (character,size, being a tall white dude). “Here are some more thoughts on drafting. It’s almost a page out my Build me a winner manifesto. He drafted a PG and two upside late 1st round bigs ( Kevin Seraphin at 17 and Trevor Booker at 23). Other than John Wall (who we will talk about at length here), I love what the Wizards did with the draft. I am a fan of his blog and believe he will turn this team around. However, he has a proven track record as an excellent owner. I just feel that he inherited a train wreck. Now before I proceed, let me qualify my statement by saying I like Ted Leonsis. All time Teams can produce the NBA equivalent of the Washington Generals and all my work (and my gut) was pointing ironically to the Washington Wizards. Stacked periods have their bottom feeders their patsies. The league is truly fantastic right now but there is a dark side to this. The following graph from a previous piece ( Measuring the Quality of Basketball in the NBA take 2) illustrates that: 2008 to 2010 was the most stacked three year period in league history. This is because I’ve come to the conclusion that the coming NBA season may be the most competitive of all time from a talent level point of view. I bring this up because as a result of all my postseason analysis, I have a dawning suspicion that this club might gain a new member, the 2011 Washington Wizards. Previously, in this space I’ve talked about the worst NBA team of all time ( originally noted in this blog as the 1993 Mavs) and the 30 Worst Teams since the merger. I’ve heavily proofed this and now it hopefully reads better. Here’s a Guide to Calculating Wins Produced from Wages of Wins. Here a guide to commonly used terms on this blog from Devin at the NBeh? blog. Note: Before we start some basics for new readers.
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